Thursday, December 10, 2009

So goes Greece, so go other Democracies?

http://www.ekathimerini.com/4dcgi/_w_articles_politics_100003_10/12/2009_113195

Greece's public debt is forecast to reach 130% of its GDP next year, and they're worried. Some call it the worst threat to national sovereignty since the end of the reign of the "Generals'" in 1974. Many leaders in the EU expect Greece to be the first nation in the Union to default on its debts.

The US is at 90%, forecast to get to 100% in 2011. When should we get worried?

Can a democracy exist once the people find ways to vote themselves into money?

Sunday, December 6, 2009

Santa's Visit

There are some challenges to being the kid of a military guy, for sure, but also some great benefits. One of them is that we've got the assets to fly Santa in for an early visit every now and then! I've got some great pics of the kids clustered around him after engine shutdown, with huge smiles on all faces, but decided to keep them off the Internet.

A great time was had by all, and it was nice of Santa to take some time out of his busy December schedule!

Friday, December 4, 2009

Reconciliation

As you probably know, in 1994 Rwanda endured a genocidal massacre, where in the course of 100 days, a million people were killed in gruesome murders. You may not know that Rwanda has since made some great strides forward both socially and economically, resulting in their acceptance into the Commonwealth of former British colonies this week, only 15 years since those terrible days.

What has made this possible? Many things, but one of the most important has been a huge movement of reconciliation.

But I can't explain this nearly as well as someone who lived through both the terror and the hope. I listened to this podcast on my way to work and almost had to stop driving. It's that powerful. It's from a church, Mars Hill, but it's not about preaching and trying to convert you, it's about the incredible power of forgiveness.


I'm tempted to add some quotes from a favorite book of mine, Why Forgive, by Johann Christoph Arnold, but I think the words from Mr Nkiriyumwami are enough to stand on their own.

Pat

Wednesday, December 2, 2009

Is the Military the only Option?

In the past posts, I've laid out my strategy for "diminishing warfare," and now the question is (especially in light of POTUS' decision to send more troops to Afghanistan), "Is the military the right implement for this strategy?" Well, yes and no...

The military may not be the best instrument to engage the problem of underlying conditions in a specific location or situation. In other cases, it may be the only means available, or a required operational element, because of the specialties and assets we bring to the environment, such as our abilities to deploy globally and operate in austere and/or hostile conditions. To ensure that we are ready to provide the National Command Authority the necessary capabilities to “engage the base,” we must:
1. Concentrate on strengthening and improving key relevant competencies such as IO, Joint and Interagency Integration, and Civil Affairs. Coordination with US and foreign government agencies, NGOs and PVOS, combined with coherent and effective IO, is critical to our abilities to operate on the “diminishing” front.
2. Recognize Our Diverse, but Limited Roles in DIME. We must emphasize to all of our forces, from flag officers down to E-1’s, that an American overseas in uniform is always, at least to some extent, a representative of the diplomatic and informational (and often economic) instruments of US power. To capitalize on these roles and opportunities, we must educate our service personnel about host cultures; national strategic, operational, and tactical objectives; and key messages we wish to convey in the region.
3. Listen and Observe at All Levels. Because of the environments and relationships in which we work, military personnel at all levels often are privy to intentional or unintentional communications, signals, or other information that could be vital to our efforts. The importance of listening, observing, and reporting must be stressed from the COCOM, who often has access to the highest levels with regional and national leadership, down to the soldier who interacts on a daily basis with local citizens.

Obviously, we must continue to stand in the forefront of our nation’s efforts to destroy and defend, as well as serving a large role in “deny.” However, we must also recognize that both the nature of the threat and the environment in which we engage it has changed significantly, and that “diminishing” – engaging the underlying conditions that spawn terrorist organizations – is essential to winning the GWOT.

What do you think? Please feel free to post comments below - I don't bite!

Tuesday, December 1, 2009

Diminishing Warfare: IO

After discussing the aspects of human dignity, partnerships, and mobilization of the American people, the fourth leg of what I call "diminishing wafare," the strategy of attacking the conditions which spawn terrorism and terrorist organizations, is information ops (IO), which sounds much more sinister than it is...

Conducting Coordinated and Coherent Information Operations. The “instantaneous communications, transportation networks, information exchange, technology, and free-flow of capital” of globalization have allowed relatively small organizations (like Al Quaeda) to have worldwide impact. We must take these lessons to heart and turn the advantage to our side. By using the assets of globalization intelligently, particularly in the area of Information Operations (IO), in a coherent and coordinated manner we can dramatically increase the impact of even small efforts towards our overall objectives while denying or hampering our adversary’s ability to do the same. The common saying, “perception is reality,” is false. However, in today’s globalized environment where information is accessible across the globe nearly instantly through a variety of media, perception certainly trumps reality in many cases. IO must be fully integrated into our efforts towards diminishing the underlying causes and aimed at three distinct audiences: the target population, the international and regional communities, and the United States public, with an emphasis on listening first, so that our message can be framed in culturally-aware manner which maximizes its impact on its intended audience. However, our IO also must exhibit a consistency which recognizes that messages aimed at one audience will be heard by all three:

a. Local Target Population. As the NSCT states, the reason that underlying unjust conditions provide such fertile soil for terrorist organizations is not that terrorism is a legitimate or effective approach to solving the problems, but that people affected by these conditions perceive terrorism as such. Our IO efforts, therefore, must convince the local target populations both that terrorism is not a legitimate manner in which to address injustice and oppression and that the United States, its allies, and its partners are engaging these problems effectively. In operations involving the military, obviously public announcements, liaisons with local leadership, and the Civil-Military Operations Center (CMOC) will play a large role. However, the most effective manner of communications at this level may be individual soldiers and units through their daily contacts and relationships with the populace.

b. International and Regional Communities. As partnerships in both the regional and international environments are vital to solving these sizable issues, our IO efforts must emphasize the legitimacy and efficacy of our efforts (giving leaders the political credibility to partner with us), while communicating the regional and world impact of the problems at hand and the corporate benefits of solving them (providing motivation to act). Combatant Commands play a significant role at this level of IO and must ensure that their messages are fully integrated with those of other agencies.

c. US Population. To mobilize the US public into action, our IO must educate the populace on the scope of the problems and the national interests involved in addressing them. IO must also detail available ways to “get involved,” as well as details of our efforts, challenges, and successes. The military can play a decisive part at this level through public information, constructive relationships news media, and existing IO entities (such as Combat Camera).
It is imperative that IO not stand on its own as a mere propaganda or deception plan, but be integrated into our overall efforts and based upon our desired perception of real and tangible initiatives and results.

Next, what role (if any) does the military have in this?

Monday, November 30, 2009

Diminishing Warfare... Partnering and Mobilization

Last week, I talked about championing human rights as a part of a "diminishing warfare" strategy for the United States - engaging the base of unjust conditions that breed terror. The next two steps of this strategy involve partnerships and mobilization of the American public. By this, I propose that the United States should be:

Partnering with international, regional, and local governments as well as governmental, non-governmental (NGOs) and private volunteer organizations (PVOs). The job of diminishing underlying conditions is immense and can only be tackled by alliances, coalitions, and cooperation with all available like-minded governments and organizations, as well as the joint and interagency cooperation and integration of US government entities. We must improve our communication with these groups, find where our objectives overlap, and coordinate our efforts for maximum impact in a given location. In military operations, the Civil-Military Operations Centeris the vital hub of this partnership and must be integrated into theater planning and operations.

Mobilizing the American People. Our largest asset in warfare has always been the American populace and private industrial base. The United States is peculiar among industrialized nations in the preponderance of wealth owned by private citizens and organizations versus the government, as well as the relatively small size of the government workforce in proportion to the population. During previous global wars, the United States mobilized its population to great effect, rallying them to action to support the war effort with their money (as with War Bonds), volunteerism (such as in the USO and American Red Cross), and self-sacrifice (voluntary and involuntary rationing, “victory gardens,” tire and metal drives, etc.). The American people remain willing to participate – in 2004, charitable contributions before the incredible response to the deadly Tsunamis in December topped $200 billion, and over half of US adults volunteered, providing an estimated 20 billion charitable work hours. However, the citizenry needs clear direction, rallying, and leadership to focus and intensify its efforts. We must mobilize these unequalled resources of people, institutions, and finances to have maximum impact in the war on terror.

Next... the final leg of the strategy of "diminishing warfare": coordinated information operations. Sounds sinister? I hope not...

Wednesday, November 25, 2009

So, what can we do?

A few days ago, I pasted an excerpt about why we should care about the conditions in places such as subsaharan Africa. The following is more from the same essay, talking about what we can do about them, engaging in what I call "Diminishing Warfare":

The United States must actively diminish these formidable underlying conditions with the same fervor and intensity with which we have pursued the missions of destroying, denying, and defending. This requires the integration of all four instruments of national power – diplomatic, informational, military, and economic (DIME) – by:
- Championing Aspirations for Human Dignity
- Partnering with international, regional, and local governments as well as governmental, non-governmental (NGOs) and private volunteer organizations (PVOs)
- Mobilizing the American People, and
- Conducting Coordinated and Coherent Information Operations

For this week, let's look at the first of these four steps:

1. Championing Aspirations for Human Dignity. We must implement the National Security Strategy (NSS) directive to champion aspirations for human dignity, acting with our public and diplomatic voices, foreign aid, and promotion of democracy, democratic institutions, and freedom of religion and conscience. By acting in such areas in an honest, straightforward, and consistent manner, we will spread hope, which is perhaps the most effective deterrent to terrorism. This will require pursuing the methods forwarded in the NSS in an even manner:

a. Speaking out honestly about violations of human dignity and using our influence in international forums to champion freedom means that we must be willing to criticize our allies, friends, adversaries, and even ourselves, in a consistent manner that shows a true resolve to uphold human dignity for all people and condemn attacks against it from all sources.

b. Judicious use of foreign aid to promote freedom and encourage forward-moving nations must likewise be consistent, and must be linked to our public voice. We cannot continue to allow our foreign aid programs to be incongruous with our diplomatic voice.

c. The development of democratic institutions, including the vital infrastructure that supports them, must gain even higher priority in our efforts. We must increase and augment such programs as the President’s Millennium Challenge Corporation, which work to improve public works, economic development, and public health initiatives as well as education, training, and mentoring in public service, law enforcement, entrepreneurship, and other vital fields.

Next... using partnerships to fight injustice.